Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.642992 0.748402 0.863062 0.996711 1.147862 1.313148 1.507201
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.471786 0.611285 0.776986 0.986852 1.243955 1.546954 1.929193
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.381489 0.542709 0.749242 1.029677 1.396463 1.855409 2.467951
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.312828 0.484193 0.719005 1.057789 1.526376 2.142929 3.005025
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.272741 0.454663 0.718955 1.120549 1.702695 2.501143 3.660738
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.224974 0.403545 0.678209 1.116849 1.781544 2.729216 4.154517
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.185424 0.356919 0.635436 1.101461 1.837201 2.923896 4.610706
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.155154 0.319445 0.600296 1.091045 1.895498 3.122369 5.081519
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.135998 0.297688 0.587155 1.112813 2.003402 3.399980 5.685258
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.118882 0.276316 0.571075 1.126466 2.097324 3.660095 6.276178
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.103584 0.255469 0.552582 1.132739 2.177697 3.901963 6.850898
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.092689 0.241597 0.544921 1.156825 2.289199 4.199724 7.530194
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.080705 0.223359 0.526854 1.160652 2.367399 4.451189 8.156315
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.066729 0.197527 0.489548 1.122961 2.366794 4.568917 8.568169
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.060792 0.189931 0.489505 1.158943 2.505471 4.935781 9.421649
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054805 0.180892 0.484905 1.184761 2.626341 5.277972 10.250673
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.052148 0.180237 0.499148 1.251501 2.831634 5.783209 11.389933
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.045451 0.166688 0.481159 1.246361 2.893139 6.028819 12.080920
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.039050 0.152357 0.458955 1.228977 2.927571 6.224998 12.691602
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.033833 0.140274 0.440369 1.217324 2.972039 6.441276 13.347801
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.030776 0.134447 0.437135 1.241157 3.093130 6.810794 14.304552
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.027709 0.127771 0.430574 1.256118 3.195820 7.149471 15.218579
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.024711 0.120500 0.421204 1.262992 3.280877 7.457318 16.087587